Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 5.266062 5.728779 6.245020 6.870472 7.617378 8.493824 9.620868
2025-01-19 4.440681 4.995949 5.656291 6.518987 7.648673 9.130753 11.328384
2025-01-26 4.133472 4.802363 5.649565 6.847781 8.590402 11.221296 16.015811
2025-02-02 4.009094 4.811321 5.896213 7.572316 10.342737 15.426599 28.662574
2025-02-09 3.782602 4.650804 5.885627 7.936829 11.742018 20.315519 58.142295
2025-02-16 3.558496 4.461202 5.799444 8.166803 13.065108 26.943772 209.253437
2025-02-23 3.335383 4.244032 5.635242 8.225625 14.126174 35.414494 NaN
2025-03-02 3.071629 3.938011 5.286708 7.867124 14.071318 40.304495 NaN
2025-03-09 2.892955 3.743611 5.095503 7.773365 14.695291 52.238709 NaN
2025-03-16 2.688813 3.492553 4.780695 7.369316 14.273231 56.694964 NaN
2025-03-23 2.584471 3.388626 4.704998 7.449863 15.410126 89.224667 NaN
2025-03-30 2.478287 3.272752 4.594683 7.432959 16.264497 150.788125 NaN
2025-04-06 2.326618 3.084807 4.358050 7.138091 16.161380 228.195278 NaN
2025-04-13 2.181087 2.898643 4.110192 6.782032 15.680116 316.988109 NaN
2025-04-20 2.137596 2.876388 4.160438 7.151369 18.735869 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.136439 2.924322 4.350331 7.951038 26.059438 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.092006 2.894491 4.385243 8.360850 33.104627 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.037454 2.842443 4.368498 8.622386 41.075067 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.973267 2.768453 4.297101 8.693847 48.337191 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.882949 2.642061 4.101804 8.303255 46.335247 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.819450 2.560733 3.997025 8.203291 50.427567 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.738083 2.443012 3.804411 7.761504 45.703733 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.697409 2.397225 3.764931 7.851522 54.638572 NaN NaN